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Writer's pictureAdam German

Bank of Japan likely to delay rate hikes amid uncertainties says Javelin Wealth Management

On December 17th, Stephen Davies of Javelin Wealth Management discussed Japan’s corporate valuations, the Bank of Japan’s approach to interest rates, and the yen’s response to a strong US dollar with CNBC’s Street Signs.  



Key Takeaways 


  • Japanese corporate restructuring remains robust, offering significant shareholder value. Current valuations are expected to stay favorable into early 2025. 

     

  • The BOJ is expected to hold off on interest rate hikes for the next few months, emphasizing caution amid economic uncertainties. 


  • Any potential rate increase would be more symbolic than impactful, given Japan’s historically low borrowing costs. 


  • The yen’s weakness is primarily driven by the strength of the US dollar, not domestic issues. 


  • Recent fluctuations, including a temporary rebound, highlight the yen’s sensitivity to US economic and policy changes. 


  • Concerns about higher US tariffs on Japanese exports could delay BOJ action on interest rates to avoid pressuring corporate growth. 


  • Export-reliant nations like South Korea and Taiwan face pressures from US trade policies and geopolitical tensions. 


  • Taiwan and South Korea might gain strategic benefits from US reshoring efforts but remain exposed to export market constraints.

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